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AMERICAN EXPRESS CO

AXP · NYSE · CIK 0000004962

SIC 6199

Finance Services

Category

Other

Entity

operating

Incorp.

NY

Fiscal Y/E

1231

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$312.34

-3.69 (-1.17%)

Open

$315.85

High

$316.40

Low

$311.81

Prev Close

$316.03

Volume

3,081,268

52W High

$385.41

52W Low

$278.54

50-day MA

$310.97

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$215.64B

P/E

19.73

P/B

6.34

PEG

1.55

EPS

16.02

BPS

49.85

Dividend Yield

1.07%

Beta

1.08

ROE

32.36%

ROA

3.61%

D/E Ratio

7.96

Operating Margin

10.21%

Net Margin

38.94%

Book Value/Share

$48.80

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (7 methods)

$90.33B

Deep overvalued +138.7%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$90.33B+139%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

$242.67B-11%

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$162.50B+33%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$50.21B+329%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$55.64B+288%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$565.44B-62%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$80.24B+169%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 7 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +138.7% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 5 methods flag overvalued, 2 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +138.7%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$90.33B

Gap (current − fair)

+$125.31B(+138.7%)

NetIncome = $10.83B
Equity = $33.47B
√(22.5 × $10.83B × $33.47B) = $90.33B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

Undervalued -11.1%

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$242.67B

Gap (current − fair)

$-27.03B(-11.1%)

NetIncome = $10.83B
Growth g = 7.0% → cap 7.0%
Multiple = 8.5 + 2 × 7.0 = 22.4×
$10.83B × 22.4 = $242.67B
  • EPS 성장률 7.0%/년 가정 (직전 1년 기준)
  • 무성장 기업 P/E = 8.5
  • 현재 적용 배수: 22.4x

Justified P/E

Overvalued +32.7%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$162.50B

Gap (current − fair)

+$53.14B(+32.7%)

NetIncome = $10.83B
Industry P/E = 15×
$10.83B × 15 = $162.50B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +329.5%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$50.21B

Gap (current − fair)

+$165.42B(+329.5%)

Equity = $33.47B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$33.47B × 1.5 = $50.21B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Overvalued +287.6%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$55.64B

Gap (current − fair)

+$160.00B(+287.6%)

Revenue = $27.82B
Industry P/S = 2×
$27.82B × 2 = $55.64B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Undervalued -61.9%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$565.44B

Gap (current − fair)

$-349.80B(-61.9%)

FCF = $16.00B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$16.00B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $565.44B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 6.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +168.7%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$215.64B

Implied fair

$80.24B

Gap (current − fair)

+$135.39B(+168.7%)

Dividend D = $2.27B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$2.27B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $80.24B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 6.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%-20.0%-6.6%+6.7%+20.1%+33.4%
2%-33.9%-20.7%-7.5%+5.7%+18.9%
3%-47.7%-34.6%-21.5%-8.4%+4.7%
4%-61.1%-48.2%-35.2%-22.3%-9.3%
5%-74.3%-61.5%-48.7%-35.8%-23.0%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+464.1%+558.1%+652.1%+746.1%+840.1%
2%+365.5%+458.5%+551.6%+644.7%+737.8%
3%+268.7%+360.9%+453.1%+545.3%+637.5%
4%+173.9%+265.2%+356.5%+447.8%+539.1%
5%+80.9%+171.3%+261.7%+352.2%+442.6%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-02-06

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Net Income10,83310,1298,3747,5148,060
EPS (Basic)15.4114.0411.239.8610.04
EPS (Diluted)15.3814.0111.219.8510.02

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets300,052271,461261,108228,354188,548
Total Liabilities266,578241,197233,051203,643166,371
Long-term Debt56,38749,71547,86642,57338,675
Total Equity33,47430,26428,05724,71122,177

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF18,42814,05018,55921,07914,645
Investing CF-22,891-24,402-24,433-33,689-10,529
Financing CF11,2104,43618,37924,509-14,933
CapEx2,4251,9111,5631,8551,550
Dividends Paid2,2711,9991,7801,5651,448

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (81)
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