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Walt Disney Co

DIS · NYSE · CIK 0001744489

SIC 7990

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

Category

Other

Entity

operating

Incorp.

DE

Fiscal Y/E

1003

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$104.70

-3.32 (-3.07%)

Open

$108.00

High

$108.39

Low

$104.38

Prev Close

$108.02

Volume

8,565,940

52W High

$123.85

52W Low

$92.19

50-day MA

$100.93

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$188.69B

P/E

17.39

P/B

1.73

PEG

3.08

EPS

6.25

BPS

61.08

Dividend Yield

1.39%

Beta

1.42

ROE

11.29%

ROA

6.28%

Current Ratio

0.71

Operating Margin

18.59%

Net Margin

13.14%

Book Value/Share

$57.83

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (7 methods)

$186.06B

Fair +1.4%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$175.11B+8%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

$725.63B-74%

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$186.06B+1%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$164.80B+14%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$188.85B-0%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$356.05B-47%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$63.71B+196%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 7 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +1.4% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 1 methods flag overvalued, 2 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Fair +7.8%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$175.11B

Gap (current − fair)

+$13.58B(+7.8%)

NetIncome = $12.40B
Equity = $109.87B
√(22.5 × $12.40B × $109.87B) = $175.11B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

Undervalued -74.0%

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$725.63B

Gap (current − fair)

$-536.94B(-74.0%)

NetIncome = $12.40B
Growth g = 149.5% → cap 25.0%
Multiple = 8.5 + 2 × 25.0 = 58.5×
$12.40B × 58.5 = $725.63B
  • EPS 성장률 149.5%/년 가정 (직전 1년 기준)
  • 무성장 기업 P/E = 8.5
  • 현재 적용 배수: 58.5x

Justified P/E

Fair +1.4%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$186.06B

Gap (current − fair)

+$2.63B(+1.4%)

NetIncome = $12.40B
Industry P/E = 15×
$12.40B × 15 = $186.06B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Fair +14.5%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$164.80B

Gap (current − fair)

+$23.89B(+14.5%)

Equity = $109.87B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$109.87B × 1.5 = $164.80B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Fair -0.1%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$188.85B

Gap (current − fair)

$-160.65M(-0.1%)

Revenue = $94.42B
Industry P/S = 2×
$94.42B × 2 = $188.85B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Undervalued -47.0%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$356.05B

Gap (current − fair)

$-167.36B(-47.0%)

FCF = $10.08B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$10.08B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $356.05B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 6.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +196.2%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$188.69B

Implied fair

$63.71B

Gap (current − fair)

+$124.98B(+196.2%)

Dividend D = $1.80B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$1.80B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $63.71B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 6.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+11.2%+29.8%+48.3%+66.9%+85.4%
2%-8.2%+10.1%+28.5%+46.9%+65.2%
3%-27.3%-9.1%+9.1%+27.3%+45.4%
4%-46.0%-28.0%-10.0%+8.0%+26.0%
5%-64.3%-46.5%-28.7%-10.8%+7.0%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+521.7%+625.3%+728.9%+832.6%+936.2%
2%+413.0%+515.6%+618.2%+720.8%+823.4%
3%+306.4%+408.0%+509.6%+611.2%+712.8%
4%+201.9%+302.5%+403.1%+503.8%+604.4%
5%+99.3%+199.0%+298.7%+398.3%+498.0%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2025-11-13

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Revenue94,42591,36188,89882,72267,418
Operating Income17,55115,60112,86312,1217,766
Net Income12,4044,9722,3543,1451,995
EPS (Basic)6.882.721.291.731.10
EPS (Diluted)6.852.721.291.721.09

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets197,514196,219205,579203,631203,609
Current Assets24,26725,24132,76329,09833,657
Cash & Equivalents5,6956,00214,18211,61515,959
Current Liabilities34,16234,59931,13929,07331,077
Long-term Debt42,02645,81546,43148,36954,406
Total Equity109,869100,69699,27795,00888,553

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF18,101
Investing CF-8,043-6,881
Financing CF-10,366
CapEx8,0245,4124,9694,9433,578
Dividends Paid1,8031,36600

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (81)
SCHEDULE 13G

SCHEDULE 13G

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2026-04-30

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SCHEDULE 13D/A

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2026-03-05

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2026-02-25

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2026-02-25

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2026-01-22

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2026-01-22

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Walt Disney Co (DIS) — Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation | Sera Economics