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NETFLIX INC

NFLX · Nasdaq · CIK 0001065280

SIC 7841

Services-Video Tape Rental

Category

Media

Entity

operating

Incorp.

DE

Fiscal Y/E

1231

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$85.45

-2.04 (-2.33%)

Open

$86.52

High

$87.34

Low

$85.10

Prev Close

$87.49

Volume

32,799,466

52W High

$134.12

52W Low

$75.01

50-day MA

$94.93

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$370.09B

P/E

28.35

P/B

12.31

PEG

1.33

EPS

3.10

BPS

6.30

Beta

1.55

ROE

41.26%

ROA

19.75%

D/E Ratio

1.09

Current Ratio

1.19

Gross Margin

5.49%

Operating Margin

29.49%

Net Margin

24.30%

Book Value/Share

$6.30

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (7 methods)

$116.40B

Deep overvalued +217.9%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$81.09B+356%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

$642.40B-42%

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$164.72B+125%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$39.92B+827%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$90.37B+310%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$334.29B+11%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$116.40B+218%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 7 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +217.9% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 5 methods flag overvalued, 1 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +356.4%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$81.09B

Gap (current − fair)

+$288.99B(+356.4%)

NetIncome = $10.98B
Equity = $26.62B
√(22.5 × $10.98B × $26.62B) = $81.09B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

Undervalued -42.4%

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$642.40B

Gap (current − fair)

$-272.31B(-42.4%)

NetIncome = $10.98B
Growth g = 26.1% → cap 25.0%
Multiple = 8.5 + 2 × 25.0 = 58.5×
$10.98B × 58.5 = $642.40B
  • EPS 성장률 26.1%/년 가정 (직전 1년 기준)
  • 무성장 기업 P/E = 8.5
  • 현재 적용 배수: 58.5x

Justified P/E

Overvalued +124.7%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$164.72B

Gap (current − fair)

+$205.37B(+124.7%)

NetIncome = $10.98B
Industry P/E = 15×
$10.98B × 15 = $164.72B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +827.0%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$39.92B

Gap (current − fair)

+$330.16B(+827.0%)

Equity = $26.62B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$26.62B × 1.5 = $39.92B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Overvalued +309.5%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$90.37B

Gap (current − fair)

+$279.72B(+309.5%)

Revenue = $45.18B
Industry P/S = 2×
$45.18B × 2 = $90.37B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Fair +10.7%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$334.29B

Gap (current − fair)

+$35.80B(+10.7%)

FCF = $9.46B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$9.46B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $334.29B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 6.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +217.9%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$370.09B

Implied fair

$116.40B

Gap (current − fair)

+$253.69B(+217.9%)

  • 배당 입력: 순이익의 30% (이론적 배당 — 무배당주 평가용 가정)
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 6.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+132.4%+171.1%+209.8%+248.6%+287.3%
2%+91.7%+130.1%+168.4%+206.8%+245.1%
3%+51.9%+89.9%+127.9%+165.8%+203.8%
4%+12.8%+50.4%+88.1%+125.7%+163.3%
5%-25.5%+11.8%+49.0%+86.3%+123.5%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-01-23

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Revenue45,18339,00133,72331,61629,698
Cost of Revenue23,27521,03819,71519,16817,333
Operating Income13,32710,4186,9545,6336,195
Net Income10,9818,7125,4084,4925,116
EPS (Basic)2.5820.2812.2510.1011.55
EPS (Diluted)2.5319.8312.039.9511.24

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets55,59753,63048,73248,59544,585
Current Assets13,02013,1009,9189,2668,070
Cash & Equivalents9,0347,8057,1175,1476,028
Total Liabilities28,98228,88728,14427,81728,735
Current Liabilities10,98110,7558,8617,9318,489
Total Equity26,61524,74420,58820,77715,849

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF10,1497,3617,2742,026393
Investing CF1,042-2,182542-2,076-1,340
Financing CF-10,346-4,074-5,951-664-1,150
CapEx688440349408525

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (95)
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2026-05-07

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2026-03-27

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NETFLIX INC (NFLX) — Services-Video Tape Rental | Sera Economics