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← US Companies

Phillips 66

PSX · NYSE · CIK 0001534701

SIC 2911

Petroleum Refining

Category

Energy

Entity

operating

Incorp.

DE

Fiscal Y/E

1231

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$175.34

+3.78 (+2.20%)

Open

$171.94

High

$176.34

Low

$171.56

Prev Close

$171.56

Volume

1,854,196

52W High

$190.61

52W Low

$106.88

50-day MA

$169.73

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$68.78B

P/E

16.95

P/B

2.41

PEG

1.03

EPS

10.12

BPS

72.53

Dividend Yield

2.89%

Beta

0.69

ROE

15.13%

ROA

5.98%

D/E Ratio

1.49

Current Ratio

1.30

Net Margin

3.33%

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (7 methods)

$67.91B

Fair +1.3%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$53.69B+28%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

$257.58B-73%

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$66.05B+4%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$43.64B+58%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$264.75B-74%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$175.32B-61%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$67.91B+1%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 7 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +1.3% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 2 methods flag overvalued, 3 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +28.1%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$53.69B

Gap (current − fair)

+$15.10B(+28.1%)

NetIncome = $4.40B
Equity = $29.09B
√(22.5 × $4.40B × $29.09B) = $53.69B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

Undervalued -73.3%

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$257.58B

Gap (current − fair)

$-188.79B(-73.3%)

NetIncome = $4.40B
Growth g = 108.0% → cap 25.0%
Multiple = 8.5 + 2 × 25.0 = 58.5×
$4.40B × 58.5 = $257.58B
  • EPS 성장률 108.0%/년 가정 (직전 1년 기준)
  • 무성장 기업 P/E = 8.5
  • 현재 적용 배수: 58.5x

Justified P/E

Fair +4.1%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$66.05B

Gap (current − fair)

+$2.74B(+4.1%)

NetIncome = $4.40B
Industry P/E = 15×
$4.40B × 15 = $66.05B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +57.6%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$43.64B

Gap (current − fair)

+$25.14B(+57.6%)

Equity = $29.09B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$29.09B × 1.5 = $43.64B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Undervalued -74.0%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$264.75B

Gap (current − fair)

$-195.97B(-74.0%)

Revenue = $132.38B
Industry P/S = 2×
$132.38B × 2 = $264.75B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Undervalued -60.8%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$175.32B

Gap (current − fair)

$-106.54B(-60.8%)

FCF = $4.96B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$4.96B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $175.32B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 6.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Fair +1.3%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$68.78B

Implied fair

$67.91B

Gap (current − fair)

+$873.74M(+1.3%)

Dividend D = $1.92B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = 6.0%
$1.92B × (1 + 6.0%) / (9.0% − 6.0%) = $67.91B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 6.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%-17.7%-3.9%+9.8%+23.5%+37.2%
2%-32.0%-18.5%-4.9%+8.7%+22.3%
3%-46.2%-32.7%-19.2%-5.8%+7.7%
4%-60.0%-46.7%-33.4%-20.0%-6.7%
5%-73.6%-60.4%-47.2%-34.0%-20.8%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+112.6%+148.0%+183.5%+218.9%+254.3%
2%+75.4%+110.5%+145.6%+180.7%+215.8%
3%+39.0%+73.7%+108.5%+143.2%+178.0%
4%+3.2%+37.6%+72.1%+106.5%+140.9%
5%-31.8%+2.3%+36.3%+70.4%+104.5%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-02-20

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Revenue132,376143,153147,399169,990111,476
Cost of Revenue116,093129,962128,086149,932102,102
Net Income4,4032,1177,01511,0241,317
EPS (Basic)10.825.0115.5623.362.97
EPS (Diluted)10.794.9915.4823.272.97

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets73,68072,58275,50176,44255,594
Current Assets17,27117,91019,94121,92214,697
Cash & Equivalents1,1161,7383,3236,1333,147
Total Liabilities43,43944,11943,85142,33633,957
Current Liabilities13,32615,08715,85615,88912,801
Total Equity29,09327,40830,58329,49419,166

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF4,9624,1917,02910,8136,017
Investing CF-2,097-2,463-1,790-1,488-1,872
Financing CF-3,537-3,305-8,092-6,388-3,470
Dividends Paid1,9221,8821,8821,7931,585

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (86)
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Phillips 66 (PSX) — Petroleum Refining | Sera Economics