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TARGET CORP

TGT · NYSE · CIK 0000027419

SIC 5331

Retail-Variety Stores

Category

Retail

Entity

operating

Incorp.

MN

Fiscal Y/E

0201

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$118.46

-6.79 (-5.42%)

Open

$125.62

High

$125.69

Low

$117.69

Prev Close

$125.25

Volume

7,383,016

52W High

$133.10

52W Low

$82.60

50-day MA

$121.99

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$56.89B

P/E

15.41

P/B

3.52

PEG

2.37

EPS

8.13

BPS

35.70

Dividend Yield

3.59%

Beta

1.01

ROE

22.92%

ROA

6.23%

Current Ratio

0.94

Gross Margin

28.58%

Operating Margin

7.05%

Net Margin

5.10%

Book Value/Share

$35.70

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (6 methods)

$30.98B

Deep overvalued +83.6%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$36.71B+55%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

N/A

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$55.58B+2%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$24.25B+135%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$145.24B-61%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$25.26B+125%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$18.29B+211%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 6 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +83.6% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 4 methods flag overvalued, 1 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +55.0%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$36.71B

Gap (current − fair)

+$20.18B(+55.0%)

NetIncome = $3.71B
Equity = $16.16B
√(22.5 × $3.71B × $16.16B) = $36.71B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Not applicable: -

Justified P/E

Fair +2.4%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$55.58B

Gap (current − fair)

+$1.31B(+2.4%)

NetIncome = $3.71B
Industry P/E = 15×
$3.71B × 15 = $55.58B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +134.6%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$24.25B

Gap (current − fair)

+$32.64B(+134.6%)

Equity = $16.16B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$16.16B × 1.5 = $24.25B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Undervalued -60.8%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$145.24B

Gap (current − fair)

$-88.35B(-60.8%)

Revenue = $72.62B
Industry P/S = 2×
$72.62B × 2 = $145.24B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Overvalued +125.2%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$25.26B

Gap (current − fair)

+$31.63B(+125.2%)

FCF = $2.83B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$2.83B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $25.26B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 -2.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +211.0%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$56.89B

Implied fair

$18.29B

Gap (current − fair)

+$38.60B(+211.0%)

Dividend D = $2.05B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$2.05B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $18.29B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 -2.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+19.2%+39.1%+58.9%+78.8%+98.7%
2%-1.6%+18.0%+37.7%+57.4%+77.0%
3%-22.1%-2.6%+16.9%+36.4%+55.8%
4%-42.1%-22.8%-3.5%+15.8%+35.1%
5%-61.8%-42.7%-23.6%-4.5%+14.7%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+64.6%+92.0%+119.5%+146.9%+174.3%
2%+35.8%+63.0%+90.2%+117.3%+144.5%
3%+7.6%+34.5%+61.4%+88.3%+115.2%
4%-20.1%+6.6%+33.2%+59.9%+86.5%
5%-47.2%-20.8%+5.6%+31.9%+58.3%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-03-11

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Cost of Revenue75,51176,50277,73682,22974,963
Operating Income5,1175,5665,7073,8488,946
Net Income3,7054,0914,1382,780
EPS (Basic)8.168.898.966.0214.23
EPS (Diluted)8.138.868.945.9814.10

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets59,49057,76955,35653,33553,811
Current Assets20,00519,45417,49817,84621,573
Current Liabilities21,23020,79919,30419,50021,747
Long-term Debt14,39813,90414,15114,14111,568
Total Equity16,16514,66613,43211,23212,827

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF6,5627,3678,6214,0188,625
Investing CF-3,649-2,860-4,760-5,504-3,154
Financing CF-2,187-3,550-2,285-2,196-8,071
CapEx3,7272,8914,8065,5283,544
Dividends Paid2,0532,0462,0111,8361,548

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (80)
SCHEDULE 13G

SCHEDULE 13G

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-04-30

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ARS

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2026-04-27

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2026-04-09

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2026-03-27

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2026-03-19

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2025-10-31

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2025-10-02

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2025-07-29

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4

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2025-06-12

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144

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2025-06-10

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2025-05-07

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PX14A6G

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i52251px14a6g.htm

2025-05-02

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2025-04-28

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8-K/A

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2025-04-10

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TARGET CORP (TGT) — Retail-Variety Stores | Sera Economics