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VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX

VLO · NYSE · CIK 0001035002

SIC 2911

Petroleum Refining

Category

Energy

Entity

operating

Incorp.

DE

Fiscal Y/E

1231

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$248.14

+7.08 (+2.94%)

Open

$244.68

High

$248.64

Low

$242.77

Prev Close

$241.06

Volume

1,890,748

52W High

$258.43

52W Low

$117.94

50-day MA

$235.22

Quote as of: 2026-05-11

Market Cap

$70.28B

P/E

17.29

P/B

3.13

PEG

4.08

EPS

13.69

BPS

79.36

Dividend Yield

1.81%

Beta

0.57

ROE

9.90%

ROA

4.05%

Current Ratio

1.65

Gross Margin

-0.19%

Operating Margin

2.59%

Net Margin

1.91%

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (6 methods)

$35.50B

Deep overvalued +98.0%
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$35.40B+99%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

N/A

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$35.22B+100%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$35.59B+97%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$245.37B-71%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$39.85B+76%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$12.52B+461%
▶ Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 6 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +98.0% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 5 methods flag overvalued, 1 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +98.5%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$35.40B

Gap (current − fair)

+$34.88B(+98.5%)

NetIncome = $2.35B
Equity = $23.73B
√(22.5 × $2.35B × $23.73B) = $35.40B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

Not applicable: -

Justified P/E

Overvalued +99.5%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$35.22B

Gap (current − fair)

+$35.06B(+99.5%)

NetIncome = $2.35B
Industry P/E = 15×
$2.35B × 15 = $35.22B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +97.5%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$35.59B

Gap (current − fair)

+$34.69B(+97.5%)

Equity = $23.73B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$23.73B × 1.5 = $35.59B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Undervalued -71.4%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$245.37B

Gap (current − fair)

$-175.09B(-71.4%)

Revenue = $122.69B
Industry P/S = 2×
$122.69B × 2 = $245.37B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Overvalued +76.4%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$39.85B

Gap (current − fair)

+$30.43B(+76.4%)

FCF = $4.47B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$4.47B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $39.85B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 -2.0% (실질 GDP 수준)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +461.5%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

Current

$70.28B

Implied fair

$12.52B

Gap (current − fair)

+$57.76B(+461.5%)

Dividend D = $1.41B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$1.41B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $12.52B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 -2.0%

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%-6.7%+8.9%+24.5%+40.0%+55.6%
2%-23.0%-7.6%+7.8%+23.2%+38.6%
3%-39.0%-23.7%-8.5%+6.8%+22.0%
4%-54.7%-39.6%-24.5%-9.4%+5.8%
5%-70.1%-55.1%-40.1%-25.2%-10.2%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+197.2%+246.7%+296.2%+345.7%+395.3%
2%+145.2%+194.2%+243.3%+292.3%+341.4%
3%+94.3%+142.8%+191.4%+240.0%+288.5%
4%+44.3%+92.4%+140.5%+188.6%+236.7%
5%-4.7%+42.9%+90.6%+138.2%+185.8%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Financial Statements

In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-02-25

Income Statement

FY20252024202320222021
Revenue122,687129,881144,766176,383113,977
Cost of Revenue117,255125,076131,834159,587110,848
Operating Income3,1813,75511,85815,6902,130
Net Income2,3482,7708,83511,528930
EPS (Basic)7.578.5824.9329.052.27
EPS (Diluted)7.578.5824.9229.042.27

Balance Sheet

FY20252024202320222021
Total Assets57,98860,14363,05660,98257,888
Current Assets23,21023,73726,22124,13321,165
Cash & Equivalents4,6884,6575,4244,8624,122
Current Liabilities14,10915,49516,80217,46116,851
Long-term Debt8,2618,0859,2189,24111,950
Total Equity23,72524,51226,34623,56118,430

Cash Flow

FY20252024202320222021
Operating CF5,8266,6839,22912,5745,859
Investing CF-1,845-1,981-1,865-2,805-2,159
Financing CF-4,182-5,049-6,941-8,849-2,846
Dividends Paid1,4051,3841,4521,5621,602

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (76)
4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-05-07

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SCHEDULE 13G

SCHEDULE 13G

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-04-30

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-03-27

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ARS

ARS

ARS

2026-03-19

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DEFA14A

DEFA14A

DEFA14A

2026-03-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-03-12

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144

144

xsl144X01/primary_doc.xml

2026-03-12

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144

144

xsl144X01/primary_doc.xml

2026-03-12

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144

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xsl144X01/primary_doc.xml

2026-03-11

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424B5

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424B5

2026-03-09

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FWP

FWP

FWP

2026-03-05

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424B5

424B5

424B5

2026-03-05

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-27

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-27

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-27

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-27

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-27

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-24

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-02-05

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-01-23

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-01-23

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-01-23

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-01-23

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2026-01-23

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3

3

FORM 3

2026-01-09

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-12-18

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-12-18

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-11-24

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144

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xsl144X01/primary_doc.xml

2025-11-21

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-11-06

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-09-22

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3

3

FORM 3

2025-09-22

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11-K

11-K

PREMCOR RETIREMENT SAVINGS PLAN 2024 FORM 11-K

2025-06-20

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11-K

11-K

VALERO THRIFT PLAN 2024 FORM 11-K

2025-06-20

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-19

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4/A

4/A

FORM 4/A

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-05-08

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X01/primary_doc.xml

2025-04-30

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X01/primary_doc.xml

2025-04-24

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DEFA14A

DEFA14A

DEFA14A

2025-04-21

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ARS

ARS

ARS

2025-03-18

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DEFA14A

DEFA14A

DEFA14A

2025-03-18

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-28

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-28

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-28

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-28

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-28

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-20

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144

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xsl144X01/primary_doc.xml

2025-02-18

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-12

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4

Insider Transaction

FORM 4

2025-02-12

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424B5

424B5

424B5

2025-02-06

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FWP

FWP

FWP

2025-02-04

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424B5

424B5

424B5

2025-02-04

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S-3ASR

S-3ASR

S-3ASR

2025-01-30

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VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX (VLO) — Petroleum Refining | Sera Economics