S
← US Companies

VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX

VLO · NYSE · CIK 0001035002

SIC 2911

Petroleum Refining

Category

Energy

Entity

operating

Incorp.

DE

Fiscal Y/E

1231

Source: SEC EDGAR · All filings on SEC →

Investment Indicators

$312.90

+1.19 (+0.38%)

Open

$312.33

High

$314.85

Low

$306.27

Prev Close

$311.71

Volume

2,385,738

52W High

$262.50

52W Low

$121.98

50-day MA

$242.34

Quote as of: 2026-07-31

ROE

9.90%

Total Shareholder Yield

5.44%

Market Cap

$73.33B

P/E

18.05

P/B

3.07

PEG

4.08

EPS

13.68

BPS

79.36

Dividend Yield

1.90%

Beta

0.57

ROA

4.05%

Current Ratio

1.65

Gross Margin

-0.19%

Operating Margin

2.59%

Net Margin

1.91%

Intrinsic Value Estimates

Multiple valuation methods, each with its own assumptions — outputs can diverge widely

Median consensus (7 methods)

$35.40B

Deep overvalued +107.1%

Per-method implied market cap

Current market cap$73.33B
현재
Graham Number+107%
$35.40B
Graham Formula+267%
$19.96B
Justified P/E+108%
$35.22B
P/B 배수+106%
$35.59B
P/S 배수-70%
$245.37B
DCF (Gordon)+13%
$64.73B
DDM (Gordon)+370%
$15.61B
Bar tintDeep undervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedDeep overvalued
MethodImplied market capvs current

Graham Number

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

$35.40B+107%

Graham Formula

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

$19.96B+267%

Justified P/E

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

$35.22B+108%

P/B 배수

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

$35.59B+106%

P/S 배수

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

$245.37B-70%

DCF (Gordon)

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

$64.73B+13%

DDM (Gordon)

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

$15.61B+370%
Detailed analysis — formula walk-through & scenarios

Why this conclusion

Of the 7 valuation methods, 7 were applicable. Their median fair-value lands +107.1% below the current market cap → the stock trades above most formulas' estimates (overvalued). 5 methods flag overvalued, 1 flag undervalued, the rest land within fair range. Read each formula's assumptions below before treating any single number as the answer.

Graham Number

Overvalued +107.1%

√(22.5 × 순이익 × 자본)

What it measures · Benjamin Graham's conservative safety-margin formula. A high value requires both earnings and equity to be solid, so read it as 'the ceiling for a financially intact company.'

How it is computed · √(22.5 × NetIncome × Equity). 22.5 = max P/E 15 × max P/B 1.5 Graham would pay. Net income is latest FY consolidated net income from DART/XBRL; equity is total equity from the same filing.

When to trust it · Best for stable profitable industrials. Underestimates SaaS/platform/biotech because intangible-heavy businesses carry little book equity.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$35.40B

Gap (current − fair)

+$37.93B(+107.1%)

NetIncome = $2.35B
Equity = $23.73B
√(22.5 × $2.35B × $23.73B) = $35.40B
  • 최대 PER 15배
  • 최대 PBR 1.5배
  • 안정적 흑자 기업 가정 (금융·고성장 부정확)

Graham Formula

Overvalued +267.4%

순이익 × (8.5 + 2 × 성장률%)

What it measures · Graham's 1962 revision that bakes growth into the multiple. Unlike the static Graham Number, this scales linearly with EPS growth so growth stocks aren't punished as hard.

How it is computed · NetIncome × (8.5 + 2g). 8.5 = base P/E for a zero-growth firm; 2g = +2× P/E for every 1pp of EPS growth. g is YoY EPS growth, clamped to [-5%, +25%] so a single big year doesn't blow up the estimate.

When to trust it · Works for firms with proven, somewhat stable growth. Misleading for first-year profits, swing years, or any period where g is distorted by a one-time charge or gain.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$19.96B

Gap (current − fair)

+$53.37B(+267.4%)

NetIncome = $2.35B
Growth g = -15.2% → cap -5.0%
Multiple = 8.5 + 2 × -5.0 = -1.5×
$2.35B × -1.5 = $-3.52B
  • EPS 성장률 -15.2%/년 가정 (직전 1년 기준)
  • 무성장 기업 P/E = 8.5
  • 현재 적용 배수: 8.5x

Justified P/E

Overvalued +108.2%

순이익 × 산업 평균 P/E

What it measures · Relative-value benchmark — "should trade at the industry average P/E." Not an absolute intrinsic value; tells you how the firm prices vs its peer set.

How it is computed · NetIncome × industry P/E. Defaults to a market-wide 15× when no industry multiple is provided. Net income is the latest FY consolidated net income.

When to trust it · Most reliable in mature industries with comparable peers (banks, telcos, utilities, refiners). Less useful for big-tech / hardware where industry P/Es span 10×–60×.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$35.22B

Gap (current − fair)

+$38.11B(+108.2%)

NetIncome = $2.35B
Industry P/E = 15×
$2.35B × 15 = $35.22B
  • 산업 평균 PER 15x 가정 (사용자 정의 가능)
  • 동종 업종 비교가 핵심 — 산업별 평균 P/E 사용 권장

P/B 배수

Overvalued +106.1%

자본 × 산업 평균 P/B

What it measures · Multiplies book equity by industry P/B to imply a fair market cap. Best for asset-heavy businesses (banks, insurers, brokers, REITs) where balance-sheet value is the franchise.

How it is computed · Total Equity × industry P/B. Defaults to 1.5×. Equity is total equity (or parent-owners share) from the latest balance sheet.

When to trust it · Strongest for banks/insurers — asset-liability matching is the business. Materially under-prices SaaS, platforms, and brand-heavy businesses where intangible value dwarfs book equity.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$35.59B

Gap (current − fair)

+$37.74B(+106.1%)

Equity = $23.73B
Industry P/B = 1.5×
$23.73B × 1.5 = $35.59B
  • 산업 평균 PBR 1.5x 가정
  • 은행·보험·자산집약적 산업에 특히 유효

P/S 배수

Undervalued -70.1%

매출 × 산업 평균 P/S

What it measures · Multiplies revenue by industry P/S. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage, restructuring) — revenue stays positive.

How it is computed · Revenue × industry P/S. Defaults to 2.0×. Revenue is the latest FY consolidated top line.

When to trust it · Ignores margin structure — a 30% operating margin business and a -5% one get the same multiple. Only meaningful within peer + margin cohort.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$245.37B

Gap (current − fair)

$-172.04B(-70.1%)

Revenue = $122.69B
Industry P/S = 2×
$122.69B × 2 = $245.37B
  • 산업 평균 PSR 2x 가정
  • 매출 기반 — 적자 기업·신생 기업에 적용 가능
  • 이익률 차이 무시

DCF (Gordon)

Fair +13.3%

CF × (1+g) / (r − g)

What it measures · Simplified Gordon-growth DCF — discounting perpetual cash flows. Extremely sensitive to the cash-flow / discount-rate / growth-rate inputs; trust the scenario grid more than the headline number.

How it is computed · FCF × (1+g) / (r − g). FCF preferred from XBRL/DART; falls back to NetIncome, then 5% of Revenue (rough proxy). Discount rate r = risk-free (4%) + equity premium (5%) = 9%. Growth g is EPS YoY clamped to [-2%, +6%], default 3%.

When to trust it · Strongest for steady, predictable businesses. When r-g approaches 0, the denominator blows up; near-perpetuity-growth combos are intentionally voided. Useless for cyclicals (semis, commodities, shipping) where g itself is noise.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$64.73B

Gap (current − fair)

+$8.60B(+13.3%)

FCF = $5.83B
Discount r = 4.0% + 5.0% = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$5.83B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $51.90B
  • 현금흐름 입력: FCF (잉여현금흐름)
  • 할인율 9.0% (무위험 4.0% + 주식위험프리미엄 5.0%)
  • 영구 성장률 0.0% (0%~3% 범위 — 실질 GDP 한계)

DDM (Gordon)

Overvalued +369.7%

D × (1+g) / (r − g)

What it measures · Values the firm purely on dividends paid to shareholders. Cleanest in theory, but only meaningful when management clearly intends to pay dividends — useless for share-repurchase-only payout policies.

How it is computed · D × (1+g) / (r − g). D from DART alotMatter (배당사항) or |CF dividendsPaid|. If absent, cascades to 30% of NetIncome (typical payout) → 30% of FCF → 1.5% of Revenue. r and g assumptions match DCF.

When to trust it · Most reliable for stable high-yielders (Korean utilities, tobacco, financial holdings). Sharply under-prices buyback-heavy firms (US big tech, parts of Korean IT) — look at the TSY column on the listing page to balance.

Current

$73.33B

Implied fair

$15.61B

Gap (current − fair)

+$57.72B(+369.7%)

Dividend D = $1.41B
Discount r = 9.0%
Growth g = -2.0%
$1.41B × (1 + -2.0%) / (9.0% − -2.0%) = $12.52B
  • 배당 입력: 실제 지급 배당
  • 할인율 9.0%
  • 배당 영구 성장률 0.0% (0%~3% 범위 — 실질 GDP 한계)

DCF sensitivity: discount rate × terminal growth

Each cell is the (current vs FCF × (1+g) / (r − g)) discount % under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%-25.2%-12.8%-0.3%+12.2%+24.6%
2%-38.3%-26.0%-13.6%-1.3%+11.1%
3%-51.1%-38.9%-26.7%-14.5%-2.2%
4%-63.7%-51.6%-39.5%-27.4%-15.3%
5%-76.0%-64.0%-52.1%-40.1%-28.1%

DDM sensitivity: discount rate × dividend growth

Each cell is the discount % vs Dividend × (1+g) / (r − g) under the assumed growth g and discount r.

g \ r7%8%9%10%11%
1%+210.1%+261.7%+313.4%+365.1%+416.8%
2%+155.8%+207.0%+258.2%+309.4%+360.5%
3%+102.7%+153.4%+204.0%+254.7%+305.4%
4%+50.6%+100.7%+150.9%+201.1%+251.3%
5%-0.6%+49.1%+98.8%+148.5%+198.2%

All estimates rest on strong assumptions. Treat the spread, not any single number, as the signal.

Showing the latest 5 years only

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In USD millions (per-share figures shown directly) · Financials as of: 2026-02-25

핵심 지표 FY 2025

ROE

9.90%

총주주수익률

5.44%

PER

18.05

PBR

3.07

PSR

0.60

PEG

4.08

EV/EBITDA

24.00

배당수익률

1.90%

ROA

4.05%

유동비율

1.65

매출총이익률

-0.19%

영업이익률

2.59%

순이익률

1.91%

EPS

$13.68

BPS

$79.36

실적 추이

📄 SEC Filings

Other filings (79)
SCHEDULE 13G

SCHEDULE 13G

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-07-31

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2026-06-30

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2026-06-29

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11-K

11-K

PREMCOR RETIREMENT SAVINGS PLAN 2025 FORM 11-K

2026-06-26

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11-K

11-K

VALERO THRIFT PLAN 2025 FORM 11-K

2026-06-26

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2026-06-18

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2026-06-17

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2026-05-07

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SCHEDULE 13G

SCHEDULE 13G

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-04-30

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

xslSCHEDULE_13G_X02/primary_doc.xml

2026-03-27

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ARS

ARS

ARS

2026-03-19

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DEFA14A

DEFA14A

DEFA14A

2026-03-19

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2026-03-12

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424B5

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FWP

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2026-03-05

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424B5

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2026-03-05

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2026-02-27

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2026-02-27

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2026-02-27

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2026-02-24

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2026-02-05

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2026-01-23

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2025-11-24

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2025-09-22

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2025-09-22

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11-K

11-K

PREMCOR RETIREMENT SAVINGS PLAN 2024 FORM 11-K

2025-06-20

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11-K

11-K

VALERO THRIFT PLAN 2024 FORM 11-K

2025-06-20

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2025-05-19

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2025-05-19

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4/A

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2025-05-08

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2025-05-08

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2025-04-30

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SCHEDULE 13G/A

SCHEDULE 13G/A

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2025-04-24

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DEFA14A

DEFA14A

DEFA14A

2025-04-21

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